Thursday, June 9, 2016

I guess...

Hillary Clinton turned in a pretty solid performance during the primaries this week, winning most of the states, and winning California much more solidly than I had expected, honestly I was sorta thinking Sanders was going to pull it off, but it turns out I was wrong.

Technically it is still a race, Clinton does not have the majority of the pledged delegates at this time, however Sanders is not likely to sway enough Superdelegates to his side in the time remaining, I had thought that with a strong showing this week he might convince some of the establishment to start looking his way, but the showing never happened.

One can argue that this was by design, the announcement over the weekend that Clinton had secured the nomination due to a survey of Superdelegates was intended to do precisely that, and may have served to suppress turnout, although I suspect it did rather less than the Sanders camp would have you believe.

Nothing really has changed in a way though, Sanders should still hang on until the convention, the more he fights right now, the more of an impact on the party platform he will have, getting his politics disseminated through the entire party is certainly a consolation prize, but it is at least a relatively good one. And there is still a chance of a mass exodus of Superdelegates, though I have no idea what would cause that at this point.

Sanders and his supporters have every right to be pissed about the DNC and the media's handling of his campaign, and with anything approaching fair coverage we might be looking at a different race right now, only might be though, one can argue that Sanders popularity was in part due to his anti-establishment, underdog ignored my the media campaign, and that if he had backing in the DNC and equal airtime, it would undermine his cred with the base he had gathered. This is not to justify or excuse the various suppression tactics the establishment and the Clinton campaign used mind you, I still consider them both vile and mostly unnecessary, given that Clinton's performance largely approximated her polling advantage in most of the states that voted. It sucks that it happened, and the Clinton presidency will always have an asterisk next to it in my mind, but like it or not, that seems to be what we are going to get.

And yes I do believe Clinton will do just fine against Trump in the general polling trends are already showing a shift towards Clinton in the general election, and I expect that to only increase as the Democratic party settles down and accepts Clinton

#guessI'mwithher is right.

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