New York Primary

Mostly turned out as expected, although I vastly underestimated the extent that New Yorkers hate Ted Cruz, good on you NY residents.

Anyway, Trump dominated in every county except Manhattan, which went to Kasich, and looks to be taking at least 89 of NY's 95 delegates, with Kasich getting 4 and the remaining 2 yet to be allocated but will probably end up with Trump. Cruz got nothing.

I know I predicted that Trump would win in a less overwhelming fashion, but I didn't really believe it and acknowledged that my prediction was not a guarantee, Cruz though, man people don't like him. Cruz is now mathematically eliminated from hitting 1237 delegates and his only hope is a contested convention, the odds of which dropped a bit after Tuesday, Trump is still predicted to do well in California so it really is going to come down to Indiana, which still hasn't been polled, next week a bank of NE states will be voting and Trump is expected to do well there too, it probably will not be terribly interesting but will do a good job about renewing that perception of momentum for the Trump campaign, this is timely as the campaign had a bit of a shakeup recently and now no one cares.

Speaking of perceptions, Hillary Clinton beat Bernie Sanders pretty soundly as well, winning by 16 points and thirty something delegates, to be fair, Sanders made this a lot closer than anyone expected and his campaign is trying it's best to spin this as a win, but it's really not, I said a month or so ago that the Sanders campaign's habit of getting close in a lot of states needed to be backed up with solid wins at some point, and so far that hasn't really materialized in any major way, narrow victories in states without major delegate allotments isn't going to do it for him, especially with the Superdelegate hill he has to climb as well, the perception is mostly that he is losing, and I gotta say that is true. That said he has a few good opportunities coming up in the next couple weeks, capped off by California and it's massive delegate haul where he should do quite well, good enough? I don't really think so but I'll throw him my vote anyway and see what happens.

Before I leave you tonight, I want to share my favorite statistic of the election so far:

Congratulations lone Park Slope Republican voter. This is a good thing to keep in mind if anyone is feeling bummed  about NY being so pro-Trump, the Republicans are not really the most popular party there and if he makes the general his chances of winning are virtually nil, no matter who his opponent is.