It's inescapable, the Iowa primary looms close now, and the Donald is firmly in the lead, Ben Carson peaked too soon back in early December, JEB! is going nowhere but down, Rubio never really started campaigning, and every single person in the world has been working to bring Ted Cruz down.
I... I think he is going to win it people.
Now one primary doesn't mean a lot in the grand scheme of things, an Iowa has been pretty bad at picking nominees in recent decades, but the Donald is polling well in the other early states too and I have underestimated how racist an insane the Republican base is.
I now believe that he will be the Republican nominee, and while I do believe that his campaign will spell doom for the Republican party as we know it, the fact of his continued and increasing popularity has me slightly more concerned for the general election, now one way or another his party changes after this election, but he has a non zero chance of winning because he somehow manages to be attractive to certain people who should disagree with everything he stands for, I haven't seen statistics, an am not sure if there is even a way to reliably measure it, but he has a strange attraction for some segments of the millennial crowd, at least as far as online forums and comment sections describe to me, they fall into a couple groups.
Accelerationists.
The philosophy of "Burn it down and start over" has an appeal to a group that is expected to somehow succeed without complaint in the increasingly unregulated anarcho-capitalist hellhole that is the American job market, hell I know I've often been attracted to the idea of restarting the country from scratch. The thinking goes that Trump will make things so bad, that it will be impossible for anyone to ignore the inherent flaws in the system, and then we will finally create a more balanced and fair version after we recover from the Trumpenreich or something.
The problem with this is of course all the people who would quite literally die before we arose, phoenix like, from the ashes of the great wall, remember this is a man who, when confronted with the idea of forcing Muslims to wear identifying marks, responded with "I'll consider it", this is the man who wants to forcibly evict eleven million people from this country, who attempts to sue people at the drop of a hat, and who has spent the last twenty five years trying to convince a person on Twitter that his fingers aren't stumpy.
The idea of what he would do with the full power of the US government backing him up boggles the mind, I personally don't want to watch WWIII play out in my lifetime, nor do I want to see a modern day Trail of Tears with whatever brown skinned people with accents the Trumpstaffel round up and march to Mexico. And believe me, the government will back him, if elected he would almost certainly have a Republican House and Senate, and the party has shown no signs of being able to stand up to him so far.
Basically the idea is great as long as you don't mind the deaths of millions, and if that is true in your case, you are probably the villain in the story.
Anti-PC
There is probably a better name for it, but you get the idea, the pushback against being PC isn't unique to millennials of course, but there are a shitload of us, so even a small percentage turns out to be quite a lot of people.
You probably know the arguments, hell you have probably made the arguments at one time or another, stuff like "people need to toughen up" "I say what I mean, not my fault if people can't take it" or even "You are being too sensitive", when confronted with the idea that women, minorities, or really anyone would prefer to not be addressed as if they were less human than you are. It get's framed as a freedom of speech issue, with the dastardly social justice warriors wanting to shut down honest discussion in favor of protecting their feelings.
Just so we are clear, if you hold these opinions you are an idiot, and in fact also a hypocrite who wants to shut down topics that upset you, screw it.
Anyway, it totally is possible to be oversensitive, but it really isn't an issue on the national level, or really that big a deal on any smaller scale either, but Trump would have us believe that when we suggest that it is wrong to, and this is just a random example, suggest that all Mexican immigrants are drug dealers and rapists, we are actually hamstringing ourselves when it comes to dealing with problems honestly.
So it's these two ideas that seem to make Trump attractive, and like I said before while they are not exclusive to millenials, we are the voting bloc that will likely decide the election, and there are a number of us that finds his ideas strangely appealing especially if you don't actually try to apply critical thought to what he says.
And that is really what I hope will be his downfall, I just can't make myself believe that enough people will vote for a literal fascist because of irony, nihilism, or outright cruelty to make a difference in the general election, which just leaves Trump with his core supporters of the racist and stupid, all in all I am still optimistic I guess.
Monday, January 25, 2016
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